Iron dome performance statistics

[Avruch]

Sheepy,

 

Can you share with the class the real statistics on how many missiles launched against nations with an Iron Dome are deflected and how many land? The project page says 50%, but many many people have recently been reporting much, much lower deflection rates. 

[Sargun]

Just remember it's not 50% of missiles *will* be blocked, only that it's got a 50% chance for each individual missile.  And people whose Iron Domes *do* work aren't going to complain about it, so you're only going to see the failure stories.

[Avruch]

Just remember it's not 50% of missiles *will* be blocked, only that it's got a 50% chance for each individual missile.  And people whose Iron Domes *do* work aren't going to complain about it, so you're only going to see the failure stories.

 

A 50% chance for each missile means that you might get 10 missiles launched at you and see 6 or 3 or 8 blocked. But on average, over a large number of missiles, the amount blocked should be half or nearly.  

 

And yes, reporting bias, etc. etc. obviously. That's why I asked for the actual statistic. 

[Bollocks]

I agree, seeing a statistic would be nice. 

[Kadin]

Lower? I've had like 9 missiles tossed at me since the war began and only got hit by two.

[Jodo]

I'm 1/2. 

 

Working as intended !@#$es!

[hidude45454]

2/4; works for me as well.

[Alex]

I don't know that we keep those numbers exactly. I might be able to come up with something by sorting through Notifications.

 

As stated though, when you launch a missile it's randomly assigned a 50% chance of success when launched. Given a large enough sample size, that's what it'll be, and even if the current stats showed that 55% of missiles got blocked that doesn't impact your actual odds at all.

[Alex]

Looking at notifications since the beginning of October, 748 missiles were blocked by Iron Domes. The number of missiles that have successfully hit is well over 1,000, however that number is obviously skewed because out of all the missiles that did hit, not all were launched at targets that had the Iron Dome. So, unfortunately, I can't really give you a direct statistic for this.

[Hysteria]

Yeah its just a matter of chance.The first war (THE SERVER RESET WAR) ID was 2/5. This most recent war ID was 4/5.

 

So thats 60% blocked for me personally. 

Edited October 28, 2015 by Hysteria

[Greatnate]

How much work would it be to add a "Missiles Blocked" statistic? I imagine it would make answering this question a lot easier, I know I would be interested in tracking those stats for my aa.

[Valakias]

I stopped many in the fight against Rose,now im taking them all. Happens:V

[Conner Temple]

I stopped many in the fight against Rose,now im taking them all. Happens:V

That's maths for you

[Prefontaine]

8/17 hit me. 

[Eric]

0/3 of mine hit.

 

2/2 hit me

[Dr Rush]

This war:

 

0/2 have hit me.

5/5 have hit their targets.

 

I'd say this mechanic is purely decided by ones faith in Dio & the description should be changed to reflect that.

[Wayne]

Lord Grayshadow of Recluce launched a missile upon your nation of Emile. The attack was unsuccessful because Dio Brando shot down the missile before it hit.