Being fair to pre:
The guarantee given to test was that they would receive required assistance if countered. Hence my provision of the "an attack on test will be considered an attack on tS for the duration of this conflict". This was cross-checked with various allies to ensure that there would be willing counters in such a hypothetical.
The rest... deductions made and/or information received during ensuing (coalition) discussions.
I do believe panth was talked about too. Hazy on it tho.