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Spying odds


teeks
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I have 60 spies. He has 3. How does this keep happening?  Bug? Exploit? Joke mechanics?
 

has executed an espionage operation to sabotage tanks in your country. They successfully detonated an explosive in a factory in your nation. 1,625 of your tanks were destroyed

has executed an espionage operation to sabotage tanks in your country. They successfully detonated an explosive in a factory in your nation. 1,005 of your tanks were destroyed.

has executed an espionage operation to sabotage tanks in your country. They successfully detonated an explosive in a factory in your nation. 1,005 of your tanks were destroyed.

has executed an espionage operation to sabotage tanks in your country. They successfully detonated an explosive in a factory in your nation. 670 of your tanks were destroyed.

 

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The odds of success on a target tanks espionage operation are fairly high.

For 3 spies vs 60 spies, assuming highest safety level of op chosen, the probability of success would be:

[(3*25) + (3*100)/((60*3)+1)] / 1.5 = 51 (51%)

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